Question 1
What should the model include?
Use historical and projected income statements, a cash-flow bridge, debt schedule, leverage and coverage calculations, liquidity, base and downside cases, and a recovery analysis. Keep assumptions visible and separate management inputs from your adjustments.
Question 2
How should the downside case be built?
Stress the variables most connected to the business risk: volume, pricing, churn, margin, working capital, capital expenditure, or concentration loss. Do not apply an arbitrary percentage decline to every line. The downside should describe a plausible operating event and its liquidity consequences.
Question 3
How do you recommend covenants?
Start with the risk you need to monitor and the point at which lender intervention remains useful. Set definitions, testing frequency, headroom, step-downs, cure rights, baskets, and reporting requirements that match the operating case and transaction structure.
Question 4
How should recovery be estimated?
Use a stressed enterprise-value multiple, asset realization, or liquidation framework appropriate to the business. Deduct restructuring costs and apply the capital-structure waterfall, including revolver priority, secured claims, guarantees, and other liabilities.
Question 5
What should the final recommendation contain?
State invest or decline, proposed commitment, pricing, structure, key conditions, principal risks, mitigants, downside outcome, and the two or three facts that would change your decision. The recommendation should follow from the analysis rather than repeat it.